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Wednesday, January 14, 2009

With Google Killing Products, Is Reader Next?

UPDATED 1/15/09: Google exec Jeff Huber says there are no plans to shut Google Reader. However, I think the monetization issue is still out there for fodder. 

In a move that's been rumored for awhile, Google tonight said they shutting down or ceasing further development on five products: Google Video, Catalog Search, Notebook, Jaiku (once a promising Twitter competitor) and Dodgeball. None of these products makes Google a dime and it has me wondering what the future is for Google Reader.

In tough times, even the most stable Internet business focus on their core products. I recall back in 2000 or 2001 that Yahoo in its heyday shut down a bunch of products that weren't performing. Now Google is doing the same. If the products don't drive the big G's core businesses -  search, apps and ads - then they're at risk. These five clearly are in that boat.

Enter Google Reader, one of my favorite products and by far the best RSS reader on the market. However, Google Reader is completely un-monetized. Further, RSS adoption aint exactly a robust growth market. It's still for geeks. So I wonder if the economic storm intensifies what Reader's future is. My bet is that they will either shut it down, cease development or start to monetize it the way they are doing with Google Finance. More likely it's the latter. Even Google Maps now has ads.

If Google chooses to run ads in Google Reader, that creates an issue. Lots of publishers run ads in their feeds. If Google is competing against these with its own contextual ads in in Reader then what? It might just be easier for them to shut it down. Thank God for OPML exporting. 

All I am saying is: don't bet that Google Reader will stay the same.

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